At the end of this course, the students; 1) Can understand the importance of probability in Industrial Engineering 2) Have the ability to interpret and apply the numerical and graphical methods which are used in summarizing the statistical data sets 3) Have the ability of problem solving by learning the definition and rules of probability 4) Learn and apply the concepts of random variables and their probability and distribution functions 5) Have the ability to choose and apply the suitable probability distribution for a problem and to be able to interrelate with the real life problems, as well. 6) Have the ability to determine the probability distributions for the functions of random variables and to be able to interrelate with sampling distributions as well. 7) Have the ability to describe the basic concepts of statistics (population, sample, ramdom sample, sampling distribution etc.)
MODE OF DELIVERY
Face to face
PRE-REQUISITES OF THE COURSE
No
RECOMMENDED OPTIONAL PROGRAMME COMPONENT
None
COURSE DEFINITION
Probability concept and basic theorems of probability. Independence, conditional probability and Bayes' rule. Random variable and functions. Considerable discrete and continuous distributions. Distributions of random variables' functions. Subject of statistics and its method. Unit, population, data analysis, central tendency measurements. Sampling and sampling methods, sampling distributions.
COURSE CONTENTS
WEEK
TOPICS
1st Week
Displays of Data Sets and Calculations of Some Important Statistics
2nd Week
Fundamentals of Probability
3rd Week
Definition of Probability, Conditional Probability, Bayes' Theorem and Independent Events
4th Week
Concept of Random Variable, Probability Distributions
5th Week
Discrete and Continuous Probability Distributions
6th Week
Joint Probability Distributions, Statistical Independence
7th Week
Mathematical Expectation, Variance and Covariance
8th Week
Some Discrete Probability Distributions
9th Week
Midterm
10th Week
Some Continuous Probability Distributions
11th Week
Fuctions of Random Variables, Distribution Function Technique
12th Week
Change of Variables Techique (For one and two random variables)
13th Week
Moment Generating Function Technique, Definition of Random Sampling
14th Week
Concept of Random Sampling, Sampling Distributions for Some Statistics
RECOMENDED OR REQUIRED READING
(1) Walpole R.E., Myers R.H. Myers Sh. L. Ye K. Probability and Statistics or Engineers and Scientists Prentice Hall. 7th edition; (2) İ. Kara. Olasılık, Bilim Teknik, 2000 (3) Akdeniz F. "Olasılık ve İstatistik", Nobel Kitabevi, 13. Baskı, 2007. (4) Erbaş S. O. "Olasılık ve İstatistik", Gazi Kitabevi.
PLANNED LEARNING ACTIVITIES AND TEACHING METHODS
Lecture,Discussion,Questions/Answers,Other
ASSESSMENT METHODS AND CRITERIA
Quantity
Percentage(%)
Mid-term
1
35
Assignment
2
5
Quiz
6
25
Total(%)
65
Contribution of In-term Studies to Overall Grade(%)
65
Contribution of Final Examination to Overall Grade(%)
35
Total(%)
100
ECTS WORKLOAD
Activities
Number
Hours
Workload
Midterm exam
1
2
2
Preparation for Quiz
3
10
30
Individual or group work
14
1
14
Preparation for Final exam
1
30
30
Course hours
14
4
56
Preparation for Midterm exam
1
30
30
Laboratory (including preparation)
0
0
0
Final exam
1
2
2
Homework
4
3
12
Total Workload
176
Total Workload / 30
5,86
ECTS Credits of the Course
6
LANGUAGE OF INSTRUCTION
Turkish
WORK PLACEMENT(S)
No
KEY LEARNING OUTCOMES (KLO) / MATRIX OF LEARNING OUTCOMES (LO)