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COURSE UNIT TITLECOURSE UNIT CODESEMESTERTHEORY + PRACTICE (Hour)ECTS
FORECASTING METHODS TKM456 - 3 + 0 5

TYPE OF COURSE UNITElective Course
LEVEL OF COURSE UNITBachelor's Degree
YEAR OF STUDY4
SEMESTER-
NUMBER OF ECTS CREDITS ALLOCATED5
NAME OF LECTURER(S)Professor Mehmet Güray Ünsal
LEARNING OUTCOMES OF THE COURSE UNIT At the end of this course, the students;
1) Can understand specific data considerations, regression models, time series and their patterns.
2) Can understand basic forecasting models from various time series data.
MODE OF DELIVERYFace to face
PRE-REQUISITES OF THE COURSENo
RECOMMENDED OPTIONAL PROGRAMME COMPONENTNA
COURSE DEFINITION
COURSE CONTENTS
WEEKTOPICS
1st Week Covariance, Correlation Coefficients
2nd Week Introduction to Regression
3rd Week Simple Linear Regression Method
4th Week Multiple Linear Regression
5th Week Applying Multiple Linear Regression
6th Week Performance Indicators
7th Week Multiple Linear Relationship Problems
8th Week Midterm
9th Week Introduction to Time Series Analysis
10th Week Moving Averages
11th Week Exponential Smoothing
12th Week Time Series and Regression Applications
13th Week Time Series Analysis Computer Applications
14th Week Time Series Analysis Computer Applications
RECOMENDED OR REQUIRED READINGIntroduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, Yaffee R. A. ve McGee, M. (2000)
Regression Models for Time Series Analysis, Kedem, B., Fokianos, Konstantinos, (2002), (Wiley and Sons)
PLANNED LEARNING ACTIVITIES AND TEACHING METHODSLecture,Discussion
ASSESSMENT METHODS AND CRITERIA
 QuantityPercentage(%)
Mid-term140
Quiz410
Total(%)50
Contribution of In-term Studies to Overall Grade(%)50
Contribution of Final Examination to Overall Grade(%)50
Total(%)100
ECTS WORKLOAD
Activities Number Hours Workload
Midterm exam122
Preparation for Quiz428
Individual or group work14456
Preparation for Final exam12020
Course hours14342
Preparation for Midterm exam11717
Laboratory (including preparation)
Final exam122
Homework
Quiz414
Total Workload151
Total Workload / 305,03
ECTS Credits of the Course5
LANGUAGE OF INSTRUCTIONTurkish
WORK PLACEMENT(S)No
  

KEY LEARNING OUTCOMES (KLO) / MATRIX OF LEARNING OUTCOMES (LO)
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K2  X   X
K3  X  
K4  X  
K5  X   X
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K9    X
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K15